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Krynthnode Perspective, No 02. Cybersecurity and digital risk

Two Clocks Are Ticking

AI is coming faster. Quantum could hit harder. A global look at why security leaders cannot choose between them, what the world's regulators now expect, and why both clocks are already running.

Published by Krynthnode Research and Advisory LLP. 18-minute read, 16 pages.

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Five things to take away

  1. AI is the speed threat; quantum is the shelf-life threat. AI shrinks the time an attacker needs. Quantum shrinks how long today's secrets and signatures stay safe.
  2. Q-Day is a curve, not a date. Published estimates of the hardware needed to break RSA-2048 have fallen from 20 million qubits in 2019 to roughly 10,000 to 100,000 in designs published this year.
  3. Quantum attacks are invisible and irreversible. Data harvested today leaves no trace, and nothing can be done once it is decrypted.
  4. The neglected half is authenticity. Signing keys burned into devices shipping today may still be trusted when a capable quantum computer exists.
  5. The world has set the clock. The US, the EU and Australia have put 2030 on their highest-risk systems; India wants critical infrastructure done by 2029.

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